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Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability and Decision

Richard Bradley 1 Casey Helgeson Brian Hill 
1 Department of Archaeology
UOR - University of Reading
Abstract : The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.
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Preprints, Working Papers, ...
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https://hal-hec.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01993428
Contributor : Antoine Haldemann Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Thursday, January 24, 2019 - 9:14:20 PM
Last modification on : Saturday, June 25, 2022 - 10:56:25 AM

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  • HAL Id : hal-01993428, version 1

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Richard Bradley, Casey Helgeson, Brian Hill. Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability and Decision. 2016. ⟨hal-01993428⟩

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