Service interruption on Monday 11 July from 12:30 to 13:00: all the sites of the CCSD (HAL, EpiSciences, SciencesConf, AureHAL) will be inaccessible (network hardware connection).
Skip to Main content Skip to Navigation

Asset Allocation in Transition Economies

Abstract : Designing an investment strategy in transition economies is a difficult task, because stock markets opened through time, time series are short, and there is little guidance how to obtain expected returns and covariance matrices necessary for mean-variance asset allocation. Moments of market returns can be expected to be time varying as structural changes occur in nascent market economies. We develop an ad-hoc optimal asset-allocation strategy with a flavor of Bayesian learning adapted to these various characteristics. Since an extreme event often heralds a new state of the economy, we re-initialize learning when unlikely returns materialize. By considering a Cornell benchmark, we show the usefulness of our strategy for certain types of re-initializations. Our model can also be used in situations when new industries emerge or when companies are subject toimportant restructuring.
Complete list of metadata
Contributor : Antoine Haldemann Connect in order to contact the contributor
Submitted on : Wednesday, June 1, 2011 - 8:34:47 PM
Last modification on : Saturday, June 25, 2022 - 10:52:18 AM


  • HAL Id : hal-00597773, version 1




Michael Rockinger, Eric Jondeau. Asset Allocation in Transition Economies. 2002. ⟨hal-00597773⟩



Record views