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Do countries falsify economic date strategically? Some evidence that they do

Abstract : We find evidence supporting the hypothesis that countries at times misreport their economic data in a strategic manner. Among those suspected are countries with xed exchange rate regimes, high negative net foreign asset positions or negative current account balances, which corroborates the intuition developed with a simple economic model. We also note that countries with bad institutional quality rankings and those in Africa, Middle East, Eastern Europe and Latin America release economic data of questionable veracity. Our evidence calls for models with public signals to consider strategic misinformation and for establishing independent statistical agencies to assure the delivery of high quality economic data.
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https://hal-hec.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00579319
Contributor : Antoine Haldemann <>
Submitted on : Wednesday, March 23, 2011 - 2:56:39 PM
Last modification on : Thursday, January 11, 2018 - 6:19:32 AM

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  • HAL Id : hal-00579319, version 1

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Gilles Stoltz, Tomasz Michalski. Do countries falsify economic date strategically? Some evidence that they do. 2010. ⟨hal-00579319⟩

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